Sabres vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - March 5

Pittsburgh Penguins v Tampa Bay Lightning

Photo: Mike Carlson / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Buffalo Sabres (36-19-6) will try to prolong a four-game win streak when they face the Pittsburgh Penguins (31-16-13) on the road on Thursday, March 5 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a peek at which club we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

During the past 10 outings for the Penguins, their offense has totaled 38 goals while their defense has conceded 24 (they have a 6-2-2 record in those games). In 26 power-play opportunities during that span, they have capitalized with five goals (19.2% conversion rate).

Sabres vs. Penguins Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final score of Penguins 4, Sabres 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Penguins (-105)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Sabres Splits and Trends

  • The Sabres have finished 6-6-12 in overtime contests as part of an overall record of 36-19-6.
  • Buffalo has 20 points (7-2-6) in the 15 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the six games this season the Sabres recorded just one goal, they finished 0-5-1.
  • Buffalo has taken six points from the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (3-7-0 record).
  • The Sabres have scored more than two goals in 42 games (33-4-5, 71 points).
  • In the 23 games when Buffalo has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 32 points after finishing 14-5-4.
  • In the 22 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Buffalo is 12-8-2 (26 points).
  • The Sabres have been outshot by opponents 39 times, and went 24-11-4 (52 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins have earned a record of 4-13-17 in overtime contests on their way to an overall mark of 31-16-13.
  • Pittsburgh has earned 19 points (7-7-5) in its 19 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Penguins registered just one goal in six games and have gone 0-3-3 (three points).
  • Pittsburgh has four points (0-5-4) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Penguins have scored more than two goals in 41 games, earning 68 points from those contests.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 20 games has a record of 10-6-4 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 14-11-8 (36 points).
  • The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 22 games. The Penguins finished 12-5-5 in those matchups (29 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Sabres Rank Sabres AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
7th 3.38 Goals Scored 3.38 7th
14th 3 Goals Allowed 2.78 6th
17th 27.9 Shots 29.1 7th
26th 29.9 Shots Allowed 27.2 11th
16th 19.89% Power Play % 26.09% 3rd
6th 82.93% Penalty Kill % 84.57% 2nd

Sabres vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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