Red Wings vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Jan. 3

The Detroit Red Wings (24-14-4) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (18-12-9, winners of three in a row) at Little Caesars Arena. The game on Saturday, Jan. 3 starts at 12 p.m. ET on ABC.

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Here is our pick for who will secure the win in Saturday's game.

Over the last 10 contests, the Penguins have a record of 4-4-2. They have put up 35 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 37. They have gone on the power play 29 times during that span, and have capitalized with eight goals (27.6% of opportunities).

Red Wings vs. Penguins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final score of Red Wings 4, Penguins 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Red Wings (-149)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings are 24-14-4 overall and 7-4-11 in overtime contests.
  • Detroit is 12-2-2 (26 points) in its 16 games decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Red Wings scored just one goal, they lost every time.
  • Detroit has scored exactly two goals in nine games this season (4-4-1 record, nine points).
  • The Red Wings have scored at least three goals 26 times, and are 20-3-3 in those games (to register 43 points).
  • In the 18 games when Detroit has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 23 points after finishing 11-6-1.
  • In the 22 games when it outshot its opponent, Detroit is 11-8-3 (25 points).
  • The Red Wings' opponents have had more shots in 19 games. The Red Wings went 13-5-1 in those contests (27 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins (18-12-9 overall) have posted a record of 3-9-12 in games that have required OT this season.
  • In the 11 games Pittsburgh has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 12 points.
  • This season the Penguins scored only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
  • When Pittsburgh has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned three points (0-4-3 record).
  • The Penguins have earned 40 points in their 26 games with more than two goals scored.
  • Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 15 games this season and has recorded 15 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 6-8-5 (17 points).
  • The Penguins have been outshot by opponents in 17 games, going 9-4-4 to register 22 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Red Wings Rank Red Wings AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
18th 3.05 Goals Scored 3.21 11th
19th 3.14 Goals Allowed 3.1 16th
10th 28.9 Shots 28.4 14th
12th 27.5 Shots Allowed 28.3 18th
4th 25.19% Power Play % 30.19% 2nd
16th 80.18% Penalty Kill % 81.2% 12th

Red Wings vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan

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