Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Dec. 23

The Toronto Maple Leafs (15-15-5, on a three-game losing streak) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (15-11-9) at Scotiabank Arena. The matchup on Tuesday, Dec. 23 begins at 4 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will emerge with the victory in Tuesday's hockey action.

The Penguins have a 2-4-4 record in their last 10 games. They have scored 27 total goals (nine power-play goals on 38 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 23.7%) while conceding 38 goals to their opponents.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Penguins 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-154)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs (15-15-5 overall) have a 4-5-9 record in games that have needed overtime.
• Toronto is 7-3-4 (18 points) in its 14 games decided by one goal.
• In the two games this season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
• Toronto has finished 3-5-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering eight points).
• The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in 22 games (12-8-2, 26 points).
• In the 10 games when Toronto has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 4-4-2 to record 10 points.
• In the 10 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 3-6-1 (seven points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 24 times, and went 11-9-4 (26 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

• The Penguins have a 2-9-11 record in overtime matchups this season and a 15-11-9 overall record.
• Pittsburgh has earned 10 points (3-3-4) in its 10 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Penguins recorded only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
• When Pittsburgh has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned three points (0-4-3 record).
• The Penguins have earned 34 points in their 22 games with at least three goals scored.
• This season, Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 12 games and registered nine points with a record of 3-6-3.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 5-7-5 (15 points).
• The Penguins have been outshot by opponents in 17 games, going 9-4-4 to register 22 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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