Penguins vs. Capitals Prediction & Picks - April 17

The Eastern Conference's 13th-ranked squad, the Pittsburgh Penguins (33-36-12), host the top-ranked group from the Eastern Conference, the Washington Capitals (51-21-9), on Thursday, April 17 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Here's our prediction for who will claim the win in Thursday's matchup.

The Capitals have a 4-6-0 record in their last 10 games. They have totaled 26 goals while allowing 41 in that period. On the power play, 26 opportunities have resulted in nine goals (34.6% conversion rate).

Penguins vs. Capitals Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final tally of Capitals 4, Penguins 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-110)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Penguins Splits and Trends

• The Penguins are 10-12-22 in overtime contests as part of a 33-36-12 overall record.
• Pittsburgh is 13-4-6 (32 points) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
• In the 15 games this season the Penguins recorded only one goal, they've finished 1-14-0 (two points).
• Pittsburgh has taken nine points from the 17 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (2-10-5 record).
• The Penguins are 30-7-7 in the 44 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 67 points).
• In the 33 games when Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 13-14-6 to register 32 points.
• In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Pittsburgh is 15-12-6 (36 points).
• The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 45 games. The Penguins went 17-22-6 in those contests (40 points).

Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals have a 51-21-9 record this season and are 8-9-17 in contests that have required overtime.
• Washington has earned 34 points (14-4-6) in its 24 games decided by one goal.
• In 11 games this season when the Capitals ended a game with only one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-9-1).
• Washington has earned six points (2-7-2 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Capitals have scored more than two goals 56 times, earning 102 points from those matchups (48-2-6).
• This season, Washington has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 30 games and picked up 41 points with a record of 19-8-3.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Washington has posted a record of 30-11-4 (64 points).
• The Capitals' opponents have had more shots in 34 games. The Capitals went 20-9-5 in those contests (45 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Penguins vs. Capitals Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, April 17, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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