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The Tampa Bay Lightning (22-15-3), losers of four straight road games, visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (18-18-8) at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday at 5:00 PM ET on ESPN+.
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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we predict to emerge victorious in Sunday's hockey action.
The Penguins' offense has totaled 28 goals over their last 10 outings, while their defense has conceded 32 goals. They have recorded 32 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored 11 goals (34.4%). They are 3-4-3 over those games.
Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final tally of Lightning 4, Penguins 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-148)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning (22-15-3 overall) have a 3-3-6 record in games that have needed overtime.
- Tampa Bay has 12 points (5-6-2) in the 13 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the five games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
- Tampa Bay finished 0-6-1 in the seven games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering one point).
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals 28 times, and are 22-5-1 in those games (to register 45 points).
- In the 14 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 18 points after finishing 9-5-0.
- In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 13-8-0 (26 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Lightning finished 8-5-3 in those matchups (19 points).
Penguins Splits and Trends
- The Penguins have an 18-18-8 record this season and are 6-8-14 in games that have required overtime.
- Pittsburgh has earned 20 points (8-1-4) in its 13 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Penguins scored just one goal in five games and they lost every time.
- Pittsburgh has eight points (2-5-4) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Penguins have earned 36 points in their 24 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, Pittsburgh has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 17 games and registered 14 points with a record of 5-8-4.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 9-3-3 (21 points).
- The Penguins have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 8-13-5 to record 21 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Penguins AVG | Penguins Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3.65 | Goals Scored | 3 | 15th |
| 9th | 2.75 | Goals Allowed | 3.64 | 32nd |
| 14th | 28.4 | Shots | 28.4 | 14th |
| 15th | 28.4 | Shots Allowed | 31.5 | 30th |
| 4th | 25.83% | Power Play % | 25.58% | 6th |
| 9th | 82.08% | Penalty Kill % | 79.03% | 16th |
Lightning vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
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